THE IMPACT OF CPO DOWNSTREAM POLICY IN THE DOWNSTREAM COOKING OIL INDUSTRY ON INDONESIAN EXPORT FOREIGN CHANGE

Asifa Asifa; Nia Kurniawati Hidayat; Novindra Novindra

doi:10.14710/agrisocionomics.v10i1.27040

DOI: https://doi.org/10.14710/agrisocionomics.v10i1.27040

THE IMPACT OF CPO DOWNSTREAM POLICY IN THE DOWNSTREAM COOKING OIL INDUSTRY ON INDONESIAN EXPORT FOREIGN CHANGE

*Asifa Asifa

- Agribusiness Study Program, Agricultural and Forestry Faculty, Satya Terra Bhinneka University, Indonesia

Nia Kurniawati Hidayat - Department of Resource Economics and Environmental, Faculty of Economics and Management, IPB University, Jalan Agatis IPB Dramaga Campus, Bogor, 16680, Indonesia, Indonesia

Novindra Novindra - Department of Resource Economics and Environmental, Faculty of Economics and Management, IPB University, Jalan Agatis IPB Dramaga Campus, Bogor, 16680, Indonesia, Indonesia

under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0.

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Abstract

Minyak goreng merupakan salah satu produk pangan turunan Crude Palm Oil (CPO) yang memegang peranan penting dalam kehidupan dan perekonomian. Kebijakan pemerintah di bidang hilir seperti perubahan bea keluar dan peningkatan kapasitas produksi industri hilir minyak goreng dirancang untuk mendorong pengembangan produksi minyak goreng. Penelitian ini menggunakan model persamaan ekonometrika dengan persamaan simultan untuk: (1) menganalisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi permintaan CPO oleh industri minyak goreng; permintaan dan penawaran, serta ekspor minyak goreng sawit; (2) menganalisis dampak perubahan bea keluar; peningkatan kapasitas produksi CPO dan kombinasi kebijakan tersebut terhadap penerimaan devisa dari ekspor minyak goreng. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa perubahan bea keluar CPO Indonesia menyebabkan volume ekspor CPO dunia menurun, tetapi pasokan CPO domestik meningkat. Akibatnya, harga CPO menurun, sehingga permintaan dari industri hilir meningkat. Meningkatnya permintaan CPO dan peningkatan kapasitas produksi di industri hilir diharapkan dapat mendorong peningkatan produksi minyak goreng.

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In Vol 10, No 1 (2026): Maret 2026

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