Prediction of Future Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) in Makassar City

Sudirman Nganro; Slamet Trisutomo; Roland Barkey; Mukti Ali; Hidefumi Imura; Akio Onishi; Pei-I Tsai; Mohd Amirul Mahamud

doi:10.14710/tataloka.23.2.183-189

DOI: https://doi.org/10.14710/tataloka.23.2.183-189

Prediction of Future Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) in Makassar City

*Sudirman Nganro - Departemen Arsitektur Fakultas Teknik Universitas Hasanuddin, Indonesia

Slamet Trisutomo - Hasanuddin University, Indonesia

Roland Barkey - Hasanuddin University, Indonesia

Mukti Ali - Hasanuddin University, Indonesia

Hidefumi Imura - Global Cooperation Institute for Sustainable Cities, Yokohama City University, Japan

Akio Onishi - Global Cooperation Institute for Sustainable Cities, Yokohama City University, Japan

Pei-I Tsai - Global Cooperation Institute for Sustainable Cities, Yokohama City University, Japan

Mohd Amirul Mahamud - Universiti Sains Malaysia, Penang, Malaysia, Malaysia

Citation Format:

Abstract

Migration from rural area to urban area increases urban population. It increases and needs for settlements, leading to conversion of agricultural lands into settlement areas. Inconsistent land use compared with spatial planning causes change in land use. Spatial land use expansion can be monitored and predicted by modeling. NetLogo application is a software integrated with Agent-Based Modeling (ABM), which can be used to predict change of land use with various complex parameters. The present study used population growth as a parameter to predict change of land use of Makassar in 2050 based on 2017 land use classification map as the start of the prediction. The analysis result showed that the biggest change of land use happens to Settlement class which is 594.74 hectares and the smallest is Water Body class which is 8.76 hectares.

Fulltext View|Download

Keywords: prediction; land use land cover; agent-based models; Makassar City

Funding: Hasanuddin University

Article Metrics:

Article Info

Section: Articles

Language : EN

In Vol 23, No 2 (2021): Volume 23 No. 2, May 2021

Recent articles

Analisis Zonasi Hijau di Jakarta [RETRACTED] Pengaruh Internet Terhadap Intensi Migrasi Internasional Kaum Muda di Perdesaan (Studi Kasus di Desa Tambakasri) Dampak Kebijakan Pemerintah Daerah dalam Pengelolaan PKL di Kota Jakarta, Bandung dan Surabaya More recent articles

Abdul Hafid. (2016). Kota Makassar dalam Angka 2016. Makassar: BPS Kota Makassar
Anwar Haris. (2002). Makassar Dalam Angka 2002. Makassar: BPS Kota Makassar
Bata. (2012). Simulasi Berbasis Agen-Based Modeling (ABM) Menggunakan Netlogo. In SENTIKA 2012. Yogyakarta
Dhartaredjasa, I. (2013). Analisis citra satelit multitemporal untuk kajian perubahan penggunaan lahan di kota surabaya, kabupaten gresik dan sidoarjo tahun 1994-2012. Jurnal Bumi Indonesia, 2, 164–173
Fatichah, Rahman, A. (2017). Pemodelan Epidemik Menggunakan Cellular Automata. Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/265751686_PEMODELAN_EPIDEMIK_MENGGUNAKAN_CELLULAR_AUTOMATA
Kurnianti, Rustiadi, B. (2016). Land Use Projection for Spatial Plan Consistency in Jabodetabek. Indonesian Journal of Geography, 47, 124–131
MacAl, C. M., & North, M. J. (2010). Tutorial on agent-based modelling and simulation. Journal of Simulation, 4(3), 151–162. https://doi.org/10.1057/jos.2010.3
Setiady, D. (2016). Prediksi Perubahan Lahan Pertanian Sawah Sebagian Kabupaten Klaten dan Sekitarnya Menggunakan Cellular Automata dan Data Penginderaan Jauh. Jurnal Bumi Indonesia, 5
Tisue, S., & Wilensky, U. (2004). Netlogo: A Simple Environment for Modeling Complexity. Conference on Complex Systems, 1–10. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICVD.2004.1261037
Wijaya, S. (2013). Integrasi Model Spasial Cellular Automata dan Regresi Logistik Biner untuk Pemodelan Dinamika Perkembangan Lahan Terbangun. Jurnal Bumi Indonesia, 2, 126–133
Wilensky. (1999). NetLogo. Retrieved November 1, 2017, from http://ccl.northwestern.edu/netlogo/index.shtml
Zope, Eldho, J. (2016). Impacts of land use-land cover change and urbanization on flooding: A case study of Oshiwara River Basin in Mumbai, India. Catena, 145, 142–154. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2016.06.009

Last update:

No citation recorded.

Last update:

No citation recorded.

As an article writer, the author has the right to use their articles for various purposes, including use by institutions that employ authors or institutions that provide funding for research. Author rights are granted without special permission.

Author who publishes a paper at Tataloka has the broad right to use their work for teaching and scientific purposes without the need to ask permission, including: used for (i) teaching in the author's class or institution, (ii) presentation at meetings or conferences and distributing copies to participants ; (iii) training conducted by the author or author's institution; (iv) distribution to colleagues for research use; (v) use in the compilation of subsequent authors' works; (vi) inclusion in a thesis or dissertation; (vi) reuse of part of the article in another work (with citation); (vii) preparation of derivative works (with citation); (viii) voluntary posting on open websites operated by authors or author institutions for scientific purposes.

Authors and readers can copy and redistribute material in any media or format, and mix, modify, and build material for any purpose but they must provide appropriate credit (provide article citation or content), providing links to the license, and indicate if there are changes.

The authors submitting a manuscript do so on the understanding that if accepted for publication, copyright of the article shall be assigned to Jurnal Tataloka . Copyright encompasses rights to reproduce and deliver the article in all form and media, including reprints, photographs, microfilms and any other similar reproductions, as well as translations.

Reproduce any part of this journal, its storage in the database or its transmission by all forms or media is permitted does not need for written permission from Tataloka . However, it should be cited as an honor in academic manners

Tataloka and the Department of Urban and Regional Planning of Diponegoro University and the Editor make every effort to ensure that there are no data, opinions, or false or misleading statements published in Tataloka. However, the content of the article is the sole and exclusive responsibility of each author.

The Copyright Transfer Form can be downloaded here: [Copyright Transfer Form - Indonesian] [Copyright Transfer Form - English]. The copyright form should be signed originally and send to the Editor in the form of printed letters, scanned documents sent via email or fax.