DOI: https://doi.org/10.14710/tataloka.23.2.183-189

Prediction of Future Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) in Makassar City

*Sudirman Nganro  -  Departemen Arsitektur Fakultas Teknik Universitas Hasanuddin, Indonesia
Slamet Trisutomo  -  Hasanuddin University, Indonesia
Roland Barkey  -  Hasanuddin University, Indonesia
Mukti Ali  -  Hasanuddin University, Indonesia
Hidefumi Imura  -  Global Cooperation Institute for Sustainable Cities, Yokohama City University, Japan
Akio Onishi  -  Global Cooperation Institute for Sustainable Cities, Yokohama City University, Japan
Pei-I Tsai  -  Global Cooperation Institute for Sustainable Cities, Yokohama City University, Japan
Mohd Amirul Mahamud  -  Universiti Sains Malaysia, Penang, Malaysia, Malaysia

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Abstract

Migration from rural area to urban area increases urban population. It increases and needs for settlements, leading to conversion of agricultural lands into settlement areas. Inconsistent land use compared with spatial planning causes change in land use. Spatial land use expansion can be monitored and predicted by modeling. NetLogo application is a software integrated with Agent-Based Modeling (ABM), which can be used to predict change of land use with various complex parameters. The present study used population growth as a parameter to predict change of land use of Makassar in 2050 based on 2017 land use classification map as the start of the prediction. The analysis result showed that the biggest change of land use happens to Settlement class which is 594.74 hectares and the smallest is Water Body class which is 8.76 hectares.

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Keywords: prediction; land use land cover; agent-based models; Makassar City
Funding: Hasanuddin University

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Language : EN
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